USMLE Score Correlation Calculator For A Good Predicted Score

Many of you sent me your NBME scores and asked me to tell you the predicted score. It’s really hard to tell exactly what you will get on the actual exam since there are so many factors that affect your score.

Lack of sleep, tiredness, nervousness, hunger, and anxiety all of these will affect your score during the exam. But we all want to know if we are ready for this exam right?

Not too long ago, I was at your position and asked around about a good predicted score. But today, I will tell you how to figure out a good predicted score. Now, don’t go and ask around which NBME is a good predictor. You can read my post on Which NBME Forms To Take For Step 1 and also read the post on How To Take And Study An NBME For USMLE Step 1 Properly.

From my experience, I can tell you that a single NBME is not enough to predict your score. You need to take at least 3 NBMEs and then take the average of the scores. Once you get the average NBME score look at the table below and find the appropriate USMLE score.

Here is an Example:

  • NBME 19 – 700
  • NBME 18 – 710
  • NBME 17 – 690
  • Average NBME Score = (700 + 710 + 690) / 3 = 700
  • Actual Step 1 Score Correlation = 268

If your NBME scores are not improving and you tried every single options don’t get frustrated. I helped many students to score very high on the NBMEs and Steps. If you want to discuss your progress and need a better study guide feel free to check out my one-on-one consulting service.

NBME Score
UW Average
USMLE Score
370
55%
191
380
56%
193
390
57%
196
400
58%
198
410
59%
200
420
60%
203
430
61%
205
440
62%
207
450
63%
210
460
64%
212
470
65%
214
480
66%
217
490
67%
219
500
68%
221
510
69%
224
520
70%
226
530
71%
228
540
72%
231
550
73%
233
560
74%
235
570
75%
238
580
76%
240
590
77%
242
600
78%
245
610
79%
247
620
80%
250
630
81%
252
640
82%
254
650
83%
257
660
84%
259
670
85%
261
680
86%
264
690
87%
266
700
88%
268
710
89%
271
720
90%
273
730
91%
275
740
92%
278
750
93%
280
760
94%
282
770
95%
285
780
96%
287
790
97%
289
800
98%
292